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Modelling shows devastating impact of COVID-19 on TB

The STOP TB Partnership has recently released modelling which predicts an additional 6.8 million TB cases between 2020 and 2025, possibly setting back TB control efforts by 5-8 years.


The report, highlighted in a communique from Geneva earlier this month, suggests that the COVID-19 3-month lockdown and 10-month restoration period is particularly disruptive to TB control services, many of which have been co-opted for COVID-19 treatment in high burden areas.


The report warns that we may face a return to TB rates not seen since 2013 or 2016.


The full report is open for access here.

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